POLL: Donald Trump leads Kamala Harris in Michigan after presidential debate

By lauraharris // 2024-09-17

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An InsiderAdvantage poll has shown that Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump holds a narrow lead over Democrat presidential bet Kamala Harris in Michigan following their debate on Sept. 10. The poll, conducted on Sept. 11 to 12 among 800 likely voters, found Trump garnered 49 percent of support compared with Harris who had 48 percent. The poll also found that one percent of the respondents plan to vote for another candidate, while two percent remain undecided. This survey, conducted via cell/text and weighted by age, race, gender and political affiliation, is a continuation of the successful methodology of InsiderAdvantage/Trafalgar Group in August. At the time, Harris led Trump by two points (49 percent to 47 percent). The post-debate results mark a three-point swing in favor of Trump. Moreover, InsiderAdvantage pollster Matt Towery stated that both candidates are virtually tied across all age groups, with Trump holding a slight edge among independent voters, leading by five points in that demographic. The poll also shows Trump receiving around 20 percent of the African American vote, which is an unusual figure compared to historical levels but consistent with trends seen in national surveys. (Related: Kamala Harris LOSES SUPPORT in latest post-DNC poll.) Towery noted that the debate itself appeared to have little impact on the overall race, especially among independent voters in Michigan. "It appears that the debate had little or no impact on the contest, particularly among independent voters, in this particular state," Towery said. The results reflect the intense competition expected to continue in Michigan, a crucial battleground state, as the race progresses toward Election Day.

Other polls: Trump leads Harris in key battleground states

The same results are evident in other polls conducted in Michigan even before the debate. For instance, in a WDIV/Detroit News survey, conducted from Aug. 26 to Aug. 29 among 600 likely voters, 44.7 percent of likely voters in Michigan currently support Trump compared to the 43.5 percent who support Harris. The data further reveals that voters believe Trump is more capable of handling specific presidential responsibilities compared to Harris, particularly in managing the economy (51.5 percent to 38.9 percent), foreign affairs (48.7 percent to 44.3 percent) and immigration (55.5 percent to 36.6 percent). Conversely, voters see Harris as stronger in areas like strengthening American democracy (47.1 percent to Trump's 42.7 percent), more trustworthy (45.4 percent to 42.2 percent), more honest (45.3 percent to 35.7 percent) and smarter (47.4 percent to 42.8 percent). An AARP poll, conducted from Aug. 7 to Aug. 8 among 600 likely voters, showed Trump garnered 45 percent support compared to Harris who only got 43 percent. The poll carries a margin of error of plus or minus four percent and surveyed a political composition of 33 percent Republicans, 32 percent Democrats and 35 percent independents. Furthermore, a Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted from Aug. 21 to Aug. 28, found that Trump led Harris in seven key battleground states, namely Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Nevada. In these states, the poll showed Trump holding a 45 percent to 43 percent lead over Harris. Visit Trump.news for similar stories. Watch Steve Price explaining that Vice President Kamala Harris has done "nothing" throughout her term.

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Other polls: Trump leads Harris in key battleground states

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